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Previous Editions: 2016


Day

Hours

Program

1

Monday

11.07.2016

09:00–11:00

Basics of business forecasting

11:00–11:30

Coffee break

11:30–13:30

Architecture of the enterprise forecasting system

13:30–14:30

Lunch

14:30–16:30

Best forecasting practices

18:00–

Reception

2

Tuesday

12.07.2016

09:00–11:00

Introduction to data analysis using excel and gretl

11:00–11:30

Coffee break

11:30–13:30

SALES TREND ANALYSIS and FORECASTING:

Adaptive approach

13:30–14:30

Lunch

16:00 -

Sightseeing tour with guide - Toruń, and traditional Polish dinner (pierogi) - "Pierogarnia”, Most Pauliński Street

3

Wednesday

13.07.2016


Full-day tour

Gdansk-Gdynia-Sopot and cruise tour

4

Thursday

14.07.2016

09:00–11:00

DECOMPSITION OF A TIME SERIES:

Forecasting with time trend regression (linear and non-linear trend analysis)

11:00–11:30

Coffee break

11:30–13:30

NEW PRODUCT FORECASTING using analogies

13:30–14:30

Lunch

14:30–16:30

FORECASTING with SEASONALITY: adaptive approach

18:30–

Sightseeing

Sightseeing of19th-century forts of the Prussian Toruń Fortress, campfire grill

5

Friday

15.07.2016

09:00–11:00

SEASONAL AND CYCLIC SALES FORECASTING using seasonal dummies

11:00–11:30

Coffee break

11:30–13:30

SALES FORECASTING WITH AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS

13:30–14:30

Lunch

15:00 -

Sightseeing

Gingerbread Museum in Toruń (with gingerbread baking)

18:00

Dinner

20:30

Toruń by night

6

Saturday

16.07.2016


Full-day tour

Visiting the ancient settlement of Biskupin,other attractions

7

Sunday

17.07.2016


Sightseeing

Visiting the Toruń Centre for Astronomy (3 hours) - for adjustment- sightseeing and sky observations

8

Monday

18.07.2016

09:00–13:00

Visiting one of the companies in or near and presenting the enterprise forecasting system

13:30–14:30

Lunch

14:30-17:30

CAUSAL MODELS (Regression models with lags: Autoregressive distributed lags model, ARDL models)

18:00-

Free time

9

Tuesday

19.07.2016


Full-day tour

Canoeing + campfire grill

10

Wednesday

20.07.2016

09:00–11:00

SELECTING THE BEST FORECASTING MODELS

11:00–11:30

Coffee break

11:30–13:30

AUTOMATIC FORECASTING USING SAP - Time series models

13:30–14:30

Lunch

14:30-16:30

AUTOMATIC FORECASTING USING SAP -Regression models

18:00

Dinner

11

Thursday

21.07.2016

09:00–13:30

13:30-14:30

15:00-

18:00-

Consulting hours

Lunch

Assessment

Dinner

12

Friday

22.07.2016


Sightseeing of the Malbork castle; the Malbork siege - one of the Europe's biggest historical outdoor spectacles('knights’ camp with a garrisoned army, the mediaeval crafts fair, and horse shows)